I have friends who deny that global climate change is happening, and others who concede that it seems to be happening, but say that it is part of natural cycles and deny that human activity is responsible. I can see either view as stemming from a natural emotion: inability or disinclination to run with the sheep in whichever direction the shepherds (or is it the wolves?) are indicating. There’s something to be said for that point of view. Most likely to me, though, is that human activity is interacting with natural cycles, sometimes to augment, sometimes to damp, what would be happening otherwise. If such is the case — and I strongly imagine that it is — surely it makes sense to reduce the levels of our impact when possible. (And surely it is no coincidence that spokesmen for those who are making the most money from the existing situation are among the loudest voices saying that nothing can/could/should be done to reduce the impact of human activity.)
The problem is, time may be short. Is it sensible to hold off reform pending greater certainty? And, on the opposite side of the coin, is it sensible to make moves when we don’t understand the situation? Prudence lies somewhere in between the extremes, it seems to me.
From the Seattle Post-Intelligencer: http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/local/351374_oceans15.html?source=mypi
Last updated February 14, 2008 10:21 p.m. PT
Scientists fear ‘tipping point’ in Pacific Ocean
Coast has seen deadly drop-off in oxygen levels for sea life
By ROBERT McCLURE
P-I REPORTER
Where scientists previously found a sea bottom abounding with life, two years ago they discovered the rotting carcasses of crabs, starfish and sea worms, swooshing from side to side in the current. Most fish had fled — and those that didn’t or couldn’t joined the deathfest on the sea floor.
Extraordinarily low oxygen levels were to blame — swept up from the deep ocean into normally productive waters just off the Pacific Northwest coast by uncharacteristically strong winds.
On Thursday scientists announced they had documented that low oxygen levels that killed the sea life in 2006 were the lowest in a half-century — and that for the first time, parts of the ocean off our coast were measured with zero oxygen in the water; 2007 looked only a bit better.
Strong winds and low oxygen levels have persisted for eight summers now, leading scientists to conclude that the ocean may be “poised for significant reorganization”– their way of saying an ecosystem gone awry.
It looks like the Pacific has reached a “tipping point,” a threshold where low-oxygen levels are becoming the rule, researchers said. And while scientists can’t prove it’s caused by a changing climate, that’s consistent with what is predicted by computer projections built to anticipate global warming.
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